Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Latest Ratings

Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2014-8-30:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Mississippi0.66667100.50000
2UTEP0.66667100.50000
3Texas0.66667100.50000
4Tulsa0.66667100.50000
5Florida State0.66667100.50000
6Texas-San Antonio0.66667100.50000
7Oklahoma0.66667100.50000
8Ohio State0.66667100.50000
9Alabama-Birmingham0.66667100.50000
10Washington0.66667100.50000
11Arizona0.66667100.50000
12Michigan0.66667100.50000
13Colorado State0.66667100.50000
14Texas A&M0.66667100.50000
15Ohio0.66667100.50000
16Louisiana State0.66667100.50000
17Temple0.66667100.50000
18California0.66667100.50000
19Georgia0.66667100.50000
20Penn State0.66667100.50000
21Boston College0.66667100.50000
22Rutgers0.66667100.50000
23Brigham Young0.66667100.50000
24Notre Dame0.66667100.50000
25Mississippi State0.66667100.50000
26Marshall0.66667100.50000
27UCLA0.66667100.50000
28Auburn0.66667100.50000
29Louisiana-Monroe0.66667100.50000
30North Carolina State0.66667100.50000
31USC0.66667100.50000
32Purdue0.66667100.50000
33Nebraska0.66667100.50000
34Alabama0.66667100.50000
35Western Kentucky0.66667100.50000
36Michigan State0.56667100.35000
37Minnesota0.56667100.35000
38Georgia State0.56667100.35000
39Illinois0.56667100.35000
40Toledo0.56667100.35000
41Indiana0.56667100.35000
42Central Michigan0.56667100.35000
43San Diego State0.56667100.35000
44Missouri0.56667100.35000
45Air Force0.56667100.35000
46South Florida0.56667100.35000
47Iowa0.56667100.35000
48Pittsburgh0.56667100.35000
49Stanford0.56667100.35000
50Middle Tennessee0.56667100.35000
51Oregon0.56667100.35000
52Arkansas State0.56667100.35000
53East Carolina0.56667100.35000
54Syracuse0.56667100.35000
55Buffalo0.56667100.35000
56Northern Illinois0.56667100.35000
57North Carolina0.56667100.35000
58Georgia Tech0.56667100.35000
59Virginia Tech0.56667100.35000
60TCU0.56667100.35000
61San José State0.56667100.35000
62Oregon State0.56667100.35000
63Akron0.56667100.35000
64Memphis0.56667100.35000
65Ball State0.56667100.35000
66Duke0.56667100.35000
67Old Dominion0.56667100.35000
68Eastern Michigan0.56667100.35000
69Nevada0.56667100.35000
70Wyoming0.56667100.35000
71Utah0.56667100.35000
72Arizona State0.56667100.35000
73Texas St-San Marcos0.56667100.35000
74Louisiana-Lafayette0.56667100.35000
75Kentucky0.56667100.35000
76Maryland0.56667100.35000
77New Mexico State0.56667100.35000
78Kansas State0.56667100.35000
79Texas Tech0.56667100.35000
80Clemson0.33333010.50000
81Connecticut0.33333010.50000
82West Virginia0.33333010.50000
83Massachusetts0.33333010.50000
84Miami (OH)0.33333010.50000
85Tulane0.33333010.50000
86Kent State0.33333010.50000
87Appalachian State0.33333010.50000
88Wake Forest0.33333010.50000
89Florida Atlantic0.33333010.50000
90Troy0.33333010.50000
91Central Florida0.33333010.50000
92Rice0.33333010.50000
93Northwestern0.33333010.50000
94Virginia0.33333010.50000
95Arkansas0.33333010.50000
96New Mexico0.33333010.50000
97Washington State0.33333010.50000
98Oklahoma State0.33333010.50000
99Vanderbilt0.33333010.50000
100Southern Miss0.33333010.50000
101Fresno State0.33333010.50000
102Colorado0.33333010.50000
103Bowling Green0.33333010.50000
104North Texas0.33333010.50000
105Boise State0.33333010.50000
106UNLV0.33333010.50000
107Louisiana Tech0.33333010.50000
108South Carolina0.33333010.50000
109Georgia Southern0.33333010.50000
110Hawaii0.33333010.50000
111Navy0.33333010.50000
112Wisconsin0.33333010.50000
113Houston0.33333010.50000
114Western Michigan0.33333010.50000
115Florida Int'l0.23333010.35000
116Iowa State0.23333010.35000

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.