Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Latest Ratings

Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2014-9-27:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1UCLA0.74437400.61656
2Alabama0.71569400.57354
3Auburn0.71208400.56812
4Florida State0.70667400.56000
5Oregon0.69563400.54344
6Arizona0.68833400.53250
7Oklahoma0.68729400.53094
8Mississippi State0.68542400.52812
9Brigham Young0.68479400.52719
10Nebraska0.68200500.52300
11Texas A&M0.67900500.51850
12Notre Dame0.67375400.51062
13Mississippi0.67167400.50750
14Georgia Tech0.66333400.49500
15TCU0.65389300.48083
16North Carolina State0.63117410.54675
17USC0.63042310.57063
18Louisiana State0.62633410.53950
19Baylor0.62562400.43844
20Marshall0.62319400.43479
21Maryland0.61300410.51950
22Florida0.61250210.58542
23Missouri0.61167410.51750
24Minnesota0.60861410.51292
25Michigan State0.60681310.53521
26East Carolina0.60604310.53406
27Nevada0.60583310.53375
28Georgia0.60375310.53063
29Oklahoma State0.60313310.52969
30California0.60313310.52969
31Penn State0.60211410.50317
32Louisville0.60133410.50200
33Rutgers0.59578410.49367
34Kansas State0.59479310.51719
35Wisconsin0.59333310.51500
36South Carolina0.58911320.58367
37Stanford0.58896310.50844
38Washington0.58800410.48200
39Ohio State0.58743310.50615
40Arkansas0.58250320.57375
41Northern Illinois0.58083310.49625
42Wyoming0.58050320.57075
43Arizona State0.57917310.49375
44Air Force0.57854310.49281
45Virginia0.57400320.56100
46Colorado State0.57250310.48375
47Kentucky0.57194310.48292
48West Virginia0.57035220.60552
49Texas0.56979220.60469
50Iowa0.56883410.45325
51Oregon State0.56875310.47813
52Memphis0.56792220.60187
53Miami (FL)0.56767320.55150
54Utah0.56583310.47375
55Boise State0.56233320.54350
56Duke0.56200410.44300
57Virginia Tech0.55778320.53667
58Illinois0.55517320.53275
59Middle Tennessee0.55500320.53250
60Louisiana-Monroe0.54729310.44594
61Georgia Southern0.53867320.50800
62Tennessee0.53854220.55781
63Cincinnati0.53815210.47389
64Clemson0.53750220.55625
65Old Dominion0.53661320.50492
66Western Kentucky0.53583220.55375
67Pittsburgh0.53433320.50150
68Akron0.53306220.54958
69Temple0.53250310.42375
70Northwestern0.53139220.54708
71Boston College0.52933320.49400
72Florida Atlantic0.52528230.58792
73Texas Tech0.52063220.53094
74Washington State0.51967230.57950
75Indiana0.51806220.52708
76Syracuse0.51562220.52344
77Toledo0.51289320.46933
78Bowling Green0.51133320.46700
79Arkansas State0.50771220.51156
80North Carolina0.50208220.50312
81Ohio0.49611320.44417
82Fresno State0.49483230.54225
83Southern Miss0.49444230.54167
84Kansas0.49417220.49125
85South Florida0.49367230.54050
86South Alabama0.49333220.49000
87UTEP0.49021220.48531
88Navy0.48994230.53492
89Houston0.48938220.48406
90North Texas0.48625220.47937
91Louisiana Tech0.48250230.52375
92Utah State0.48188220.47281
93Alabama-Birmingham0.48083220.47125
94Texas St-San Marcos0.47958220.46937
95San José State0.47896130.59344
96Rice0.47813130.59219
97San Diego State0.47687220.46531
98Texas-San Antonio0.47562130.58844
99Colorado0.47300230.50950
100Michigan0.47272230.50908
101Buffalo0.46956320.40433
102Central Florida0.46593120.53222
103Western Michigan0.46229220.44344
104Purdue0.46217230.49325
105Central Michigan0.46056230.49083
106Iowa State0.45083130.55125
107Florida Int'l0.44700230.47050
108Eastern Michigan0.44674130.54510
109Wake Forest0.44650230.46975
110New Mexico State0.44600230.46900
111Louisiana-Lafayette0.44062130.53594
112Tulsa0.42917130.51875
113Vanderbilt0.42828140.54242
114Connecticut0.42233140.53350
115New Mexico0.42021130.50531
116Hawaii0.41917130.50375
117Tulane0.41600140.52400
118UNLV0.41417140.52125
119Georgia State0.41146130.49219
120Army0.40542130.48312
121Southern Methodist0.40035040.60052
122Appalachian State0.39917130.47375
123Ball State0.38694130.45542
124Kent State0.35806040.53708
125Miami (OH)0.33978050.50967
126Massachusetts0.33578050.50367
127Troy0.32967050.49450
128Idaho0.31542040.47313

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.