Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2014-10-25:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Mississippi State0.72596700.58894
2Auburn0.70155610.62375
3Florida State0.69189700.53783
4Mississippi0.68529710.59044
5Alabama0.67320710.57231
6Notre Dame0.66051610.56219
7Oregon0.65770710.54905
8Nebraska0.64398710.52847
9Louisiana State0.64198720.57408
10Georgia0.64020610.53174
11Arizona0.63765610.52790
12Michigan State0.63649710.51723
13Kansas State0.63458610.52329
14Ohio State0.63200610.51943
15TCU0.63137610.51848
16Marshall0.63119800.44678
17Clemson0.63097620.57146
18Arizona State0.63003610.51648
19Utah0.62960610.51583
20UCLA0.62746620.56619
21Colorado State0.62052710.49328
22Boise State0.61902620.55353
23West Virginia0.61717620.55076
24Oklahoma0.61096520.55930
25Baylor0.60509610.47906
26Georgia Tech0.60244620.52866
27Missouri0.60146620.52718
28Duke0.59858610.46930
29Minnesota0.59839620.52258
30Texas A&M0.59068530.57352
31Louisville0.59032620.51048
32USC0.58958530.57187
33Wisconsin0.58826520.52524
34East Carolina0.58465610.44841
35Miami (FL)0.58449530.56423
36Maryland0.56831530.53997
37Kentucky0.56794530.53942
38Central Florida0.56532520.49083
39Stanford0.56135530.52953
40Oklahoma State0.55936530.52654
41Iowa0.55882520.48108
42Florida0.55640330.58460
43Nevada0.55599530.52149
44Rutgers0.55486530.51979
45Air Force0.55469520.47489
46Boston College0.55065530.51347
47Washington0.55040530.51310
48South Carolina0.54995440.57493
49Arkansas0.54877440.57316
50Middle Tennessee0.54848530.51022
51North Carolina0.54332440.56498
52Memphis0.54298430.52876
53Virginia Tech0.54278440.56417
54Louisiana Tech0.54182530.50022
55Penn State0.54062430.52522
56Georgia Southern0.53730620.43095
57Utah State0.53613530.49170
58Louisiana-Lafayette0.53597430.51825
59North Carolina State0.53412440.55119
60California0.53180440.54770
61Northern Illinois0.53167620.42251
62South Alabama0.52963520.43731
63Cincinnati0.52473430.50139
64Illinois0.52407440.53611
65Oregon State0.52120430.49609
66Western Michigan0.52053530.46829
67Brigham Young0.51958440.52938
68Toledo0.51816530.46475
69Tennessee0.51756350.58883
70Virginia0.51484440.52226
71Arkansas State0.51363430.48473
72Northwestern0.51339340.55580
73Bowling Green0.51207530.45560
74Pittsburgh0.50985440.51477
75Syracuse0.50732350.57348
76Houston0.50475430.47141
77Navy0.50375440.50563
78UTEP0.50277430.46845
79Rice0.49982430.46402
80Michigan0.49764350.55896
81Purdue0.49753350.55880
82San José State0.49752340.53199
83Texas Tech0.49490350.55485
84Central Michigan0.49402540.46325
85Indiana0.49329340.52565
86Alabama-Birmingham0.48919440.48378
87Texas0.48706350.54309
88Texas St-San Marcos0.48522430.44211
89San Diego State0.48513430.44199
90Temple0.48511430.44196
91Western Kentucky0.48301340.51023
92Wyoming0.48227350.53590
93Fresno State0.48072350.53359
94Akron0.47808440.46712
95Florida Atlantic0.47670350.52755
96Southern Miss0.47457350.52436
97Washington State0.47055260.58083
98Ohio0.46752450.47906
99Old Dominion0.46046350.50319
100Louisiana-Monroe0.45827340.47312
101Iowa State0.45808250.54427
102South Florida0.45040350.48809
103Colorado0.44796260.54694
104Florida Int'l0.44566350.48099
105Kansas0.44441250.52376
106Vanderbilt0.44250260.53874
107Ball State0.42786350.45429
108Tulane0.42615250.49637
109Wake Forest0.42506260.51259
110Texas-San Antonio0.42495260.51243
111UNLV0.41952260.50429
112New Mexico0.41830250.48459
113Buffalo0.40927350.42641
114Hawaii0.40739260.48609
115Eastern Michigan0.39681260.47022
116Appalachian State0.39089250.44347
117North Texas0.38828260.45742
118Tulsa0.38422160.50491
119Army0.37904250.42570
120Miami (OH)0.37865270.45687
121New Mexico State0.37702260.44053
122Massachusetts0.37427270.45030
123Connecticut0.37400160.48957
124Southern Methodist0.37277070.55916
125Georgia State0.37240170.49610
126Idaho0.36414160.47479
127Troy0.35520170.47030
128Kent State0.35268170.46652

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.