Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2014-9-20:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1UCLA0.74398300.61597
2Auburn0.73966300.60949
3Alabama0.72894400.59340
4Mississippi State0.70833400.56250
5Oklahoma0.70347400.55521
6Arizona0.69479400.54219
7Brigham Young0.69062400.53594
8Notre Dame0.67963300.51944
9Oregon0.67639400.51458
10North Carolina State0.67257400.50885
11Mississippi0.67037300.50556
12Penn State0.66701400.50052
13TCU0.66389200.49583
14Georgia Tech0.66215400.49323
15Florida State0.65556300.48333
16Texas A&M0.65556400.48333
17Nebraska0.65417400.48125
18Washington0.64653400.46979
19Utah0.64167300.46250
20Arkansas0.64005310.58507
21Arizona State0.63719300.45579
22Cincinnati0.62917200.44375
23Duke0.62778400.44167
24Louisiana State0.62743310.56615
25Oregon State0.62654300.43981
26South Carolina0.62072310.55608
27East Carolina0.61863310.55295
28Marshall0.61806400.42708
29Boise State0.61458310.54688
30Baylor0.61296300.41944
31Wyoming0.60938310.53906
32Tennessee0.60926210.58056
33Florida0.60895210.58009
34Minnesota0.60451310.53177
35Maryland0.60174310.52760
36Rutgers0.59062310.51094
37Texas Tech0.58843210.54931
38USC0.58565210.54514
39Missouri0.58125310.49687
40Old Dominion0.58125310.49687
41Memphis0.57917210.53542
42Northern Illinois0.57685310.49028
43West Virginia0.57674220.61510
44Oklahoma State0.57654210.53148
45Kansas State0.57654210.53148
46UTEP0.57577210.53032
47Louisville0.57292310.48438
48Illinois0.57118310.48177
49Pittsburgh0.56771310.47656
50Nevada0.56759210.51806
51Boston College0.56748310.47622
52Wisconsin0.56667210.51667
53California0.56497210.51412
54Georgia0.56265210.51065
55Virginia0.56111220.59167
56Michigan State0.55972210.50625
57Kansas0.55972210.50625
58North Carolina0.55478210.49884
59Syracuse0.55278210.49583
60Colorado State0.55231210.49514
61Louisiana-Monroe0.55216210.49491
62Iowa0.54838310.44757
63Kentucky0.54691210.48704
64Alabama-Birmingham0.54676210.48681
65Indiana0.54352210.48194
66Southern Miss0.54236220.56354
67Air Force0.54120210.47847
68Georgia Southern0.53611220.55417
69Stanford0.53457210.46852
70Virginia Tech0.53264220.54896
71Ohio State0.53148210.46389
72South Florida0.52847220.54271
73Central Michigan0.52222220.53333
74Texas0.51991120.61319
75Texas-San Antonio0.51790120.61019
76Temple0.51759210.44306
77Middle Tennessee0.51389220.52083
78Arkansas State0.51354220.52031
79Miami (FL)0.51285220.51927
80Michigan0.51250220.51875
81Colorado0.51134220.51701
82Navy0.51076220.51615
83San José State0.50741120.59444
84Houston0.50324220.50486
85Purdue0.50000220.50000
86Bowling Green0.49861220.49792
87Utah State0.49792220.49687
88Florida Atlantic0.49514130.61771
89New Mexico0.49244120.57199
90Tulsa0.49213120.57153
91Western Michigan0.49198210.40463
92Louisiana Tech0.48924220.48385
93Toledo0.48854220.48281
94New Mexico State0.48241220.47361
95Akron0.48194120.55625
96North Texas0.47604220.46406
97Central Florida0.47269120.54236
98Wake Forest0.47199220.45799
99Western Kentucky0.47176120.54097
100Washington State0.46979130.57969
101South Alabama0.46898120.53681
102Fresno State0.46644130.57465
103Buffalo0.46296220.44444
104Ohio0.46250220.44375
105Clemson0.46235120.52685
106San Diego State0.45802120.52037
107Vanderbilt0.45625130.55937
108Connecticut0.45521130.55781
109Northwestern0.45216120.51157
110Iowa State0.45216120.51157
111Louisiana-Lafayette0.45174130.55260
112Texas St-San Marcos0.44954120.50764
113Army0.44815120.50556
114Hawaii0.44676130.54514
115Eastern Michigan0.44387130.54080
116UNLV0.44236130.53854
117Appalachian State0.43796120.49028
118Tulane0.43542130.52812
119Georgia State0.42292130.50938
120Rice0.41481030.62222
121Florida Int'l0.40000130.47500
122Ball State0.38611130.45417
123Southern Methodist0.36806030.55208
124Massachusetts0.36389040.54583
125Miami (OH)0.35972040.53958
126Troy0.34433040.51649
127Idaho0.32593030.48889
128Kent State0.30556030.45833

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.