Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2018-10-13:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Notre Dame0.71344700.57016
2Clemson0.69648600.54472
3Louisiana State0.68117610.59318
4Alabama0.68049700.52074
5Ohio State0.67865700.51797
6North Carolina State0.67861500.51791
7Texas0.66722610.57226
8Oklahoma0.66544510.58149
9Florida0.66108610.56305
10Michigan0.65537610.55448
11Georgia0.64960610.54582
12Central Florida0.64235600.46353
13Kentucky0.64143510.54548
14Cincinnati0.63814600.45721
15Iowa0.63685510.53861
16Stanford0.63235420.61519
17Duke0.63026510.52873
18South Florida0.62627600.43941
19San Diego State0.62600510.52234
20Texas A&M0.61940520.57196
21West Virginia0.61204510.50140
22USC0.60577420.57532
23Army0.59571420.56023
24Georgia Southern0.59459510.47522
25Washington0.59457520.53471
26Alabama-Birmingham0.59348510.47355
27Colorado0.59308510.47295
28Buffalo0.59267610.46044
29Mississippi0.59036520.52839
30Mississippi State0.58868420.54969
31Fresno State0.58737510.46439
32Michigan State0.58713420.54736
33Oregon0.58673510.46343
34Appalachian State0.58628410.47942
35Washington State0.58571510.46190
36Miami (FL)0.58464520.51982
37Utah0.58464420.54362
38Texas Tech0.58423420.54302
39Penn State0.58383420.54241
40Virginia0.58322420.54150
41Utah State0.58197510.45629
42Maryland0.58154420.53898
43Syracuse0.57656420.53151
44Houston0.57531510.44630
45North Texas0.57483610.43368
46Boston College0.57463520.50480
47Louisiana Tech0.57137420.52372
48South Carolina0.56839330.60258
49Western Michigan0.56784520.49462
50Wisconsin0.56514420.51437
51Indiana0.56428430.56071
52Boise State0.56024420.50703
53Virginia Tech0.55982420.50640
54Iowa State0.55940330.58910
55TCU0.55249330.57874
56Troy0.54893520.46625
57Hawaii0.54688620.44533
58Florida Int'l0.54628420.48609
59Minnesota0.54489330.56733
60Wake Forest0.54460330.56690
61Auburn0.54438430.53086
62Baylor0.54346430.52947
63Brigham Young0.53803430.52133
64Northern Illinois0.53462430.51622
65Marshall0.53199420.46466
66Vanderbilt0.53174340.58333
67Missouri0.52831330.54247
68Northwestern0.52809330.54214
69Arizona State0.52533330.53799
70Oklahoma State0.52180430.49699
71Arkansas State0.51834330.52751
72Middle Tennessee0.51813330.52719
73Tennessee0.51788330.52682
74Pittsburgh0.51523340.55856
75Temple0.51503430.48683
76Florida State0.51032330.51548
77Coastal Carolina0.50687330.51031
78Florida Atlantic0.50511330.50767
79Kansas State0.50449340.54245
80Memphis0.50447430.47099
81Georgia Tech0.50112340.53740
82Purdue0.49997330.49996
83Liberty0.49624330.49436
84Eastern Michigan0.49542340.52884
85Ohio0.49415330.49123
86Arizona0.48982340.52045
87Louisiana-Lafayette0.48817330.48226
88Toledo0.48686330.48029
89Louisiana-Monroe0.48569340.51425
90California0.48499330.47748
91Tulane0.48413240.55952
92Illinois0.47826330.46739
93Southern Methodist0.47812240.55051
94Miami (OH)0.47652340.50049
95Akron0.47193230.50789
96UNC-Charlotte0.46963330.45444
97Georgia State0.46800240.53533
98Colorado State0.46433340.48221
99Nevada0.46291340.48009
100New Mexico0.46254330.44381
101UCLA0.45629150.60111
102Ball State0.45441340.46733
103Massachusetts0.45237250.53570
104Air Force0.44346240.49852
105Southern Miss0.44329230.46493
106Texas-San Antonio0.44278340.44988
107Louisville0.44230250.52059
108Wyoming0.43527250.51004
109South Alabama0.43045250.50281
110Tulsa0.42993150.56156
111UNLV0.42866240.47632
112Connecticut0.42863150.55962
113East Carolina0.42671240.47340
114Navy0.42527240.47123
115Arkansas0.42386160.56436
116Kansas0.42220240.46664
117New Mexico State0.41374250.47775
118North Carolina0.41330140.51995
119Oregon State0.40263150.52061
120Rutgers0.39656160.52340
121Central Michigan0.38933160.51256
122Bowling Green0.38933160.51256
123Old Dominion0.38794160.51049
124Nebraska0.37948060.56923
125Rice0.37755160.49490
126Kent State0.37664160.49354
127Western Kentucky0.36296150.46110
128San José State0.35557060.53335
129Texas St-San Marcos0.34985150.44144
130UTEP0.29307060.43961

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.