Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

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Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2016-9-24:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Tennessee0.73993400.60990
2Stanford0.71481300.57222
3Clemson0.70625400.55937
4Ohio State0.70262300.55394
5Louisville0.69549400.54323
6Michigan0.69062400.53594
7Texas A&M0.69028400.53542
8Wisconsin0.68403400.52604
9Boise State0.67870300.51806
10Houston0.67801400.51701
11Wake Forest0.67500400.51250
12Nebraska0.67083400.50625
13Alabama0.66458400.49688
14Arizona State0.66146400.49219
15Navy0.65694300.48542
16West Virginia0.65556300.48333
17Miami (FL)0.65324300.47986
18Minnesota0.65278300.47917
19Western Michigan0.65069400.47604
20Washington0.64306400.46458
21Baylor0.63854400.45781
22Arkansas0.63854310.58281
23Utah0.63750400.45625
24Memphis0.62731300.44097
25Florida State0.62465310.56198
26San Diego State0.61852300.42778
27Georgia Tech0.61771310.55156
28Virginia Tech0.61597310.54896
29Colorado0.61250310.54375
30Air Force0.61157300.41736
31Florida0.60521310.53281
32Georgia0.60313310.52969
33Troy0.59861310.52292
34Maryland0.59769300.39653
35Toledo0.58750300.38125
36Tulsa0.58183310.49774
37Southern Miss0.57847310.49271
38Appalachian State0.57812220.61719
39TCU0.57778310.49167
40Cincinnati0.57396310.48594
41Indiana0.57222210.52500
42South Florida0.57188310.48281
43North Carolina0.57083310.48125
44Georgia Southern0.56933310.47899
45Kansas State0.56682210.51690
46Eastern Michigan0.56667310.47500
47Ball State0.56632310.47448
48UCLA0.56227220.59340
49Auburn0.56146220.59219
50Mississippi0.56042220.59062
51Middle Tennessee0.55868310.46302
52Tulane0.55833220.58750
53Texas Tech0.55509210.49931
54Michigan State0.55000210.49167
55Texas0.54630210.48611
56California0.54340220.56510
57Missouri0.53750220.55625
58Purdue0.53657210.47153
59Central Michigan0.53021310.42031
60Army0.52847310.41771
61Ohio0.52847220.54271
62Texas St-San Marcos0.52824120.62569
63Syracuse0.52569220.53854
64Louisiana-Lafayette0.52512220.53767
65Akron0.52500220.53750
66Vanderbilt0.52292220.53438
67North Carolina State0.52037210.44722
68Penn State0.51979220.52969
69Colorado State0.51898220.52847
70Oklahoma0.51867120.61134
71Kentucky0.51840220.52760
72Louisiana State0.51493220.52240
73South Carolina0.51493220.52240
74Oregon0.51354220.52031
75Iowa0.51111310.39167
76East Carolina0.51042220.51562
77Oklahoma State0.50938220.51406
78Southern Methodist0.50938220.51406
79Central Florida0.50590220.50885
80Pittsburgh0.50312220.50469
81Boston College0.50312220.50469
82Connecticut0.50278220.50417
83USC0.49977130.62465
84South Alabama0.49965220.49948
85Arizona0.49792220.49687
86Duke0.49792220.49687
87Oregon State0.49630120.57778
88Old Dominion0.48958220.48438
89Wyoming0.48750220.48125
90Rutgers0.48715220.48073
91Idaho0.48715220.48073
92North Texas0.48646220.47969
93Mississippi State0.48125220.47187
94Western Kentucky0.48021220.47031
95Brigham Young0.47396130.58594
96Temple0.47257220.45885
97Utah State0.47222220.45833
98Marshall0.46574120.53194
99Nevada0.46389220.44583
100Bowling Green0.45949130.56424
101Louisiana-Monroe0.45494120.51574
102Fresno State0.45486130.55729
103Washington State0.45108120.50995
104Hawaii0.44826130.54740
105Northwestern0.44583130.54375
106Kansas0.44290120.49769
107Louisiana Tech0.44097130.53646
108Florida Atlantic0.44062130.53594
109UNC-Charlotte0.43715130.53073
110Texas-San Antonio0.42778130.51667
111Notre Dame0.41840130.50260
112Georgia State0.41528030.62292
113UTEP0.41076130.49115
114Illinois0.41042020.61562
115San José State0.41042130.49062
116New Mexico State0.41042130.49062
117UNLV0.40590130.48385
118Massachusetts0.40556130.48333
119Virginia0.40521130.48281
120Kent State0.40313130.47969
121Buffalo0.40093120.43472
122Iowa State0.39479130.46719
123New Mexico0.38935120.41736
124Florida Int'l0.35660040.53490
125Northern Illinois0.34306040.51458
126Rice0.34236040.51354
127Arkansas State0.32465040.48698
128Miami (OH)0.31910040.47865

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.