Matthew Welch's College Football Ratings

About

Raw Data

Text File

Previous Results

Latest Ratings

Chart: rank through rank

Ratings including games through 2014-10-18:

 TeamRatingWLSched. Str.
1Mississippi State0.72922600.59383
2Mississippi0.71989700.57984
3Florida State0.69724700.54587
4Auburn0.69605510.62740
5Alabama0.67443610.58308
6Oregon0.66131610.56340
7Notre Dame0.66034610.56194
8Arizona0.64714510.55404
9Georgia0.64516610.53916
10Minnesota0.64192610.53430
11Marshall0.64046700.46069
12TCU0.63764510.53979
13UCLA0.63534520.59586
14Michigan State0.63256610.52027
15Kansas State0.63023510.52868
16Nebraska0.62826610.51381
17Ohio State0.62497510.52079
18Clemson0.62433520.57935
19Arizona State0.62167510.51584
20Louisiana State0.62161620.55741
21Utah0.61925510.51221
22Colorado State0.61862610.49936
23USC0.61700520.56835
24Oklahoma0.61249520.56160
25West Virginia0.60908520.55647
26Boise State0.60893520.55625
27Baylor0.60823610.48377
28Duke0.60073610.47252
29Missouri0.59900520.54135
30Louisville0.59644620.51966
31East Carolina0.59491510.47569
32Texas A&M0.59457530.57936
33Maryland0.59440520.53445
34Georgia Tech0.58947520.52707
35Kentucky0.58186520.51564
36Oklahoma State0.58141520.51498
37Rutgers0.57099520.49934
38Penn State0.56594420.51558
39South Carolina0.56336430.55933
40Washington0.56198520.48582
41Florida0.56184330.59275
42Miami (FL)0.56158430.55665
43Iowa0.56034520.48337
44Nevada0.55916430.55303
45Wisconsin0.55906420.50525
46Central Florida0.55887420.50497
47Middle Tennessee0.55791530.52437
48Virginia Tech0.55558430.54766
49Air Force0.55275520.47199
50Oregon State0.55059420.49256
51California0.54796430.53622
52Boston College0.54717430.53505
53Stanford0.54451430.53105
54Virginia0.54380430.52999
55Memphis0.54332330.56498
56Arkansas State0.54320420.48147
57North Carolina State0.53831440.55747
58Brigham Young0.53541430.51740
59Pittsburgh0.53525430.51717
60Utah State0.53416430.51552
61Tennessee0.53298340.58518
62Arkansas0.53296340.58515
63San José State0.53062330.54593
64Georgia Southern0.53035520.43839
65South Alabama0.52934420.46068
66North Carolina0.52493340.57310
67Louisiana Tech0.52373430.49988
68Northern Illinois0.52318520.42763
69Syracuse0.51818340.56298
70Northwestern0.51639340.56030
71Akron0.51437430.48584
72Michigan0.51209340.55385
73Houston0.51085430.48055
74Louisiana-Lafayette0.50788330.51182
75Bowling Green0.50715530.44823
76Alabama-Birmingham0.50529430.47222
77Cincinnati0.50145330.50217
78Temple0.50084420.41793
79Toledo0.49926430.46318
80Indiana0.49852340.53350
81Texas Tech0.49799340.53269
82Rice0.49784330.49675
83Texas0.49780340.53241
84Western Michigan0.49489430.45662
85Wyoming0.49324340.52557
86Purdue0.49263350.55144
87Southern Miss0.49247340.52442
88San Diego State0.49045430.44996
89Ohio0.48900440.48350
90Louisiana-Monroe0.48877330.48316
91UTEP0.48569330.47854
92Old Dominion0.48201340.50873
93Fresno State0.48035350.53302
94Florida Atlantic0.47879340.50390
95Illinois0.47869340.50375
96Navy0.47632340.50020
97Washington State0.47579250.57083
98Central Michigan0.47579440.46368
99South Florida0.46726340.48661
100Iowa State0.45950250.54640
101Vanderbilt0.45630250.54159
102Colorado0.45596250.54108
103Florida Int'l0.45268350.49151
104Western Kentucky0.45088240.50965
105Texas St-San Marcos0.44888330.42331
106Kansas0.44467250.52415
107Texas-San Antonio0.44147250.51935
108Wake Forest0.43963250.51659
109UNLV0.43279250.50632
110Tulane0.42539250.49522
111Hawaii0.42080250.48834
112Buffalo0.41907340.41432
113New Mexico0.41632250.48162
114Eastern Michigan0.41231250.47561
115North Texas0.39966250.45663
116Appalachian State0.39438250.44871
117Ball State0.38661250.43706
118Massachusetts0.38572260.45358
119Tulsa0.38040160.49918
120Army0.37731250.42311
121Connecticut0.37616150.48090
122Southern Methodist0.37357060.56036
123Kent State0.37354160.48888
124New Mexico State0.37266260.43400
125Georgia State0.37178160.48624
126Troy0.36129160.47050
127Idaho0.36057160.46942
128Miami (OH)0.36013170.47769

Kenneth Massey keeps a side by side comparison of ranking systems, including mine.

Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe for collecting and posting the results of all the college football games.

Here's the standard disclaimer: These ratings are not meant to predict the winners of future games, just rate teams' performances so far. It is certainly not meant to predict the spread or scores of a game. I know of no correlation whatsoever between my rating and scores of individual games, especially since I don't even count scores in my formula. I do not recommend or condone using these ratings for the purpose of gambling. Sports betting is evil. Blah blah blah.